Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
65.78% (![]() | 18.94% (![]() | 15.28% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.53% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.3% (![]() | 59.7% (![]() |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% (![]() | 10.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.53% (![]() | 34.47% (![]() |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% (![]() | 37.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.83% (![]() | 74.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Livingston |
2-0 @ 9.98% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.72% Total : 65.78% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.94% | 1-2 @ 4.31% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |