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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Aberdeen logo

Livingston
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Obileye (8'), Forrest (49')
Montano (23'), Fitzwater (38'), Omeonga (41'), Lewis (45+1'), Forrest (68'), Pittman (71'), Stryjek (73'), Holt (90')
Montano (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramirez (66')
Hayes (71'), Besuijen (82'), Ojo (87'), MacKenzie (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Livingston 1-1 Aberdeen

Both teams have had mixed form since the return to Scottish Premiership action after the winter break, and that is something that they would both like to end this weekend. Aberdeen and Livingston will be hoping to get a winning run of form, but the two teams could end up playing out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
38.77%28.08%33.15%
Both teams to score 47.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.24%58.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.72%79.28%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57%29.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.57%65.43%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67%33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41%69.59%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 38.76%
    Aberdeen 33.14%
    Draw 28.08%
LivingstonDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 10.76%
1-2 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.14%

How you voted: Livingston vs Aberdeen

Livingston
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Aberdeen
28.6%
28
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
2-0
Livingston
Hedges (23'), Bates (75')

Longridge (47')
Longridge (61')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Livingston
1-2
Aberdeen
Anderson (35')
Sibbald (26'), Penrice (52'), Devlin (80'), Longridge (86'), Pittman (90+2')
Jenks (47'), MacKenzie (90+4')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Livingston
1-2
Aberdeen
Emmanuel-Thomas (80')
Sibbald (34'), Pittman (36'), Bartley (54'), Fitzwater (75')
Hendry (52'), Hedges (74')
McLennan (34'), Considine (77'), Hayes (89'), MacKenzie (90+4')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Fourth Round
Aberdeen
2-2
Livingston
Aberdeen win 5-3 on penalties
McGinn (77'), Kamberi (95')
Hoban (66'), Ferguson (93'), Hayes (119')
Emmanuel-Thomas (37', 93')
Guthrie (68'), Holt (74'), Fitzwater (74'), Stryjek (117')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 27
Aberdeen
0-2
Livingston

Ferguson (32'), Hoban (77')
Lewis (7' og.), Devlin (16')
Longridge (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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