Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
13.83% | 19.78% | 66.39% |
Both teams to score 49.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% | 44.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% | 66.91% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.17% | 43.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.02% | 79.98% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.48% | 12.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.46% | 38.54% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 4.53% 2-1 @ 3.88% 2-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.11% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.83% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.49% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.78% | 0-2 @ 11.84% 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 6.77% 0-4 @ 4.26% 1-4 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-5 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |