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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The SMISA Stadium
Livingston logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Livingston


Gogic (57')
FT

Kelly (25'), Forrest (37'), Fitzwater (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Albion Rovers vs. Livingston
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: St Mirren 1-1 Livingston

On the back of two wins and clean sheets, St Mirren will back themselves to extend that record against opponents of a similar level to themselves. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore that Livingston's own good form, leading us to predict a competitive low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawLivingston
40.26% (3.49 3.49) 28.64% (-0.36 -0.36) 31.09% (-3.137 -3.14)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (0.726 0.73)61.15% (-0.732 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (0.536 0.54)81.1% (-0.542 -0.54)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (2.481 2.48)29.73% (-2.486 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (2.909 2.91)65.79% (-2.916 -2.92)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (-1.848 -1.85)35.73% (1.842 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49% (-1.948 -1.95)72.5% (1.942 1.94)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.25%
    Livingston 31.09%
    Draw 28.64%
St MirrenDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.52 0.52)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.465 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.812 0.81)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.391 0.39)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.516 0.52)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.176 0.18)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 10.62% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.93% (-0.88 -0.88)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.767 -0.77)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 31.09%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Livingston

St Mirren
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Livingston
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Livingston
1-1
St Mirren
Livingston win 4-3 on penalties
Forrest (41')
Holt (45+3'), Bailey (57'), Pittman (64'), Jacobs (120+4')
McCarthy (82')
Shaughnessy (47')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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