MX23RW : Friday, January 31 01:47:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
3 - 2
Lugo

Gutierrez (4'), Castro (56'), Lorenzo (75')
Hervias (17'), Gutierrez (52'), Villalba (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moyano (89'), Barreiro (90+3')
Carbo (14'), Torres (44'), Loureiro (90+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Malaga
Wednesday, October 12 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Lugo

All competitions
Last Game: Lugo 0-1 Las Palmas
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaga would win this match.

Result
MalagaDrawLugo
44.68% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09) 28.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.37% (0.078999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.1% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.8% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.95% (0.012 0.01)83.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)64.37% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (0.079000000000001 0.08)41.05% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (0.070999999999998 0.07)77.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 44.68%
    Lugo 26.36%
    Draw 28.94%
MalagaDrawLugo
1-0 @ 14.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 44.68%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 26.36%

Head to Head
May 28, 2022 5.15pm
Lugo
1-0
Malaga
Sene (78')
Seoane (39'), Gonzalez (49'), Sene (81'), Claveria (90+4')

Brandon (34')
Oct 23, 2021 7.30pm
Malaga
1-0
Lugo
Rodriguez (31')
Gassama (13')

Alende (33'), Pita (54')
Apr 4, 2021 5.15pm
Lugo
0-1
Malaga

Valentin (55'), Venancio (82'), Rama (90+1')
Scepovic (84')
Juande (34'), Escassi (90')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
Malaga
2-2
Lugo
Juande (70', 88')
Munoz (44'), Chavarria (90+2'), Enriquez (90+4')
Quintana (56')
Rama (27'), Venancio (40')
Torres (20'), Angel Carrillo (57'), Ramos (90')
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
Lugo
0-0
Malaga

Josete (41'), de la Pena (88')

De Dios Rivas Margalef (13'), Bare (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Racing de SantanderRacing24136537251245
2ElcheElche24127532161643
3Almeria24127544311343
4Levante24119438251342
5Real Oviedo2412663630642
6MirandesMirandes2412572921841
7Huesca24117634201440
8Granada2410773931837
9Real ZaragozaZaragoza249693530533
10Sporting GijonSporting Gijon248883230232
11EibarEibar2495102426-232
12Malaga2461352525031
13Albacete2471073032-231
14CadizCadiz247983132-130
15CordobaCordoba2486103139-830
16Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo247893230229
17CastellonCastellon2485113235-329
18Burgos2376101826-827
19Eldense2466122436-1224
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol23310101434-2019
21TenerifeTenerife2437141835-1716
22CartagenaCartagena2443171541-2615
> Segunda Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!