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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Parma logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Dimarco (40'), Barella (53'), Thuram (66')
Dimarco (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darmian (81' og.)
Keita (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Parma

Victory should be a formality for Inter, as they are imperious at San Siro and Parma do not tend to travel well. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet all season, while their illustrious hosts are averaging almost two-and-a-half goals per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawParma
70.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 17.85% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.221 0.22)40.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (0.226 0.23)62.65% (-0.227 -0.23)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.3% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (0.17699999999999 0.18)33.71% (-0.177 -0.18)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (0.118 0.12)44.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.18%
    Parma 11.96%
    Draw 17.85%
Inter MilanDrawParma
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 70.18%
1-1 @ 8.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Parma

Inter Milan
87.2%
Draw
10.4%
Parma
2.4%
125
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Inter Milan
2-1
Parma
Martinez (88'), Acerbi (110')
Juric (38')
Mar 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Parma
1-2
Inter Milan
Hernani (71')
Sanchez (54', 62')
Darmian (90+2')
Oct 31, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 6
Inter Milan
2-2
Parma
Brozovic (64'), Perisic (90+2')
Ranocchia (67')
Gervinho (46', 62')
Hernani (23')
Jun 28, 2020 8.45pm
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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