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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Salernitana

Lecce
1 - 2
Salernitana

Espeto (23')
Maleh (53'), Baschirotto (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Coulibaly (40'), Bradaric (43'), Sambia (80'), Nicolussi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, January 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Salernitana

Putting aside their current woes, Salernitana have proven they can cause teams trouble away from home - three wins and as many draws in 10 road trips attest to that. While Lecce's recent form is far better, they are not the most prolific side and may have to settle for a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSalernitana
53.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.34%22.35%
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.02% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 53.3%
    Salernitana 22.35%
    Draw 24.33%
LecceDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lecce vs Salernitana

Lecce
61.7%
Draw
27.7%
Salernitana
10.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Coulibaly (10')
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Lecce
4-0
Salernitana
Lapadula (4', 76'), Falco (61'), Majer (81')
Calderoni (33'), La Mantia (59')

Kiyine (45')
Jan 26, 2019 5pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Anderson (71')
Minala (72')
Mancosu (4'), Palombi (20')
Lucioni (27'), Tachtsidis (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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