Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Monza |
60.68% ( 0.58) | 20.22% ( -0.16) | 19.1% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.5% ( 0.1) | 36.49% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.36% ( 0.11) | 58.64% ( -0.11) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% ( 0.19) | 11.68% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.23% ( 0.41) | 36.76% ( -0.41) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( -0.36) | 32.44% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( -0.41) | 68.96% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Monza |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 60.68% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |