Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 2Lazio
We said: Lecce 1-3 Lazio
Lazio have both won and lost half of their Serie A away games this season, but they are more than capable of improving that record at Lecce's expense. Responding to an awful collapse on Monday, Marco Baroni can get the better of his old club and boost the Biancocelesti's push for a top-four finish. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
23.2% ( -0.84) | 25.6% ( -0.44) | 51.19% ( 1.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
