Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 26, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 2Parma
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Parma
It may not be straightforward, but Milan should overcome a flawed Parma side that ship plenty of goals - particularly on the road. The Rossoneri will have most of their main men available, and such firepower should see them claim three much-needed points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 74.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
74.03% ( 0.26) | 16.28% ( -0.09) | 9.68% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
