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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Empoli logo

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Spezia 2-2 Empoli

Both sides have been in good goalscoring form over the past few weeks, and now the Serie A season kicks off, they can carry such potency into the opening day. As neither team is secure defensively, expect several goals in an eventful draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
43.19% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 26.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.47% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09)52.85% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.073 0.07)74.46% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.079000000000008 0.08)24.28% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (0.11 0.11)58.66% (-0.107 -0.11)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)68.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 43.18%
    Empoli 30.47%
    Draw 26.34%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.18%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia
42.1%
Draw
36.8%
Empoli
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')
Apr 7, 2018 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Lopez (16')
Piu (72')
Krunic (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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