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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Udinese logo

Torino
1 - 0
Udinese

Karamoh (49')
Aina (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lovric (82'), Becao (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Udinese

While Udinese have attempted the most shots in Serie A since the winter break, and at least 11 more than any other side, they have struggled for goals of late - and Torino are not the easiest nut to crack. For that reason, a low-scoring contest may be edged by the hosts, who would then overhaul their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawUdinese
46.5% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 27.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 26.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.09% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.035 0.04)78.76% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.059000000000001 0.06)74.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torino 46.49%
    Udinese 26.3%
    Draw 27.19%
TorinoDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.3%

How you voted: Torino vs Udinese

Torino
56.7%
Draw
26.7%
Udinese
16.7%
60
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11.30am
Feb 6, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-0
Torino
Molina (90+3'), Pussetto (90+7' pen.)
Jajalo (36'), Soppy (66'), Arslan (67')

Lukic (20'), Mandragora (65'), Singo (67'), Praet (72')
Mandragora (90+2')
Nov 22, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
2-1
Udinese
Brekalo (8'), Bremer (48')
Zaza (90+2')
Forestieri (77')
Molina (16'), Pereyra (57'), Walace (68')
Apr 10, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
0-1
Torino
Belotti (61' pen.)
Mandragora (40'), Buongiorno (49'), Zaza (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 5pm
Torino
2-3
Udinese
Belotti (66'), Bonazzoli (67')
Lyanco (37'), Vojvoda (51'), Lukic (88')
Pussetto (24'), De Paul (54'), Nestorovski (69')
Pereyra (37'), Musso (76'), Becao (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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