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Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Juventus logo

Spezia
1 - 4
Juventus

Pobega (32')
Chabot (49'), Bartolomei (75'), Estevez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morata (14'), Ronaldo (59', 76' pen.), Rabiot (67')
Rabiot (69')

Preview: Spezia Calcio vs. Juventus - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia Calcio and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The battle of the Bianconeri takes place at Cesena's Stadio Dino Manuzzi on Sunday afternoon as Spezia welcome champions Juventus to their temporary home.

In a Serie A bout of flyweight versus heavyweight proportions, their kit colours are perhaps the only thing these contrasting clubs have in common.


Match preview

Juventus attacker Dejan Kulusevski celebrates scoring against Hellas Verona in Serie A on October 25, 2020© Reuters

Juventus have started this season sluggishly by their usual sky-high standards, stumbling to consecutive draws in their previous three league games against Roma, bottom side Crotone and, last week, Verona.

Against the Gialloblu, Juve were saved only by the ever impressive Dejan Kulusevski, who has perhaps been their most effective player so far this term, with two goals plus an abundance of energetic productivity week in, week out. The Swedish star registered the equaliser from one of the Bianconeri's 22 shots, only six of which were on target.

Verona, under Ivan Juric, are becoming something of a bogey side for Juve. They have only lost one of their last 43 Serie A matches against newly-promoted teams - a 2-1 defeat to Verona in February. That flat-track bullying record, however, will make bleak reading for Sunday's opponents.

Naturally, new coach Pirlo has had a hard time dealing with the ongoing absence of Cristiano Ronaldo. In fact, in four games without 'CR7', Juventus recorded only one victory - against Dynamo Kiev in the Champions League. Now their talisman is ready to return, the team dynamic may shift again.

In his absence, Alvaro Morata has occasionally made the scoresheet - and was effectively denied a Champions League hat-trick by the repeated intervention of VAR - but often flatters to deceive, while Paulo Dybala has had a difficult re-introduction to the starting XI after illness. Federico Chiesa, then, will return from suspension eager to supplement an attack lacking confidence and fluidity.

Juventus winger Juan Cuadrado celebrates scoring for his side in November 2018© Reuters

Defensively they have been undermined, too, by out-of-position Juan Cuadrado's continuing travails at right-back - particularly in the desperate defeat to Barcelona on Wednesday.

That performance was justly criticised by the Italian media, and while Juventus have failed to win any of their last six away league matches - losing three - they simply must pick up maximum points against the newly-promoted minnows this week.

Spezia have exceeded most pundits' expectations, so far tallying five points in the league thanks to a 2-0 win – the first in their Serie A history – against Udinese, plus a pair of 2-2 draws against Fiorentina and, last week, Parma.

In fact, the Aquilotti lost grip of a prime winning position at the Ennio Tardini, faltering after building a two-goal advantage and largely having the better of the game. Defender Julian Chabot and Colombian midfielder Kevin Agudelo scored the first-half goals but Vincenzo Italiano's side were denied all three points by a last-gasp Juraj Kucka penalty.

Then in midweek, Spezia saw off Serie B's Cittadella in the third round of the Coppa Italia and they can now look forward to a last-16 tie with Bologna at the end of November.

Against more fluent opposition, though, they have proved more vulnerable. In the games against both Milan and Sassuolo, Spezia suffered three-goal defeats.

Italiano's defence has so far conceded 11 and is among the worst in the league - leaking goals at a rate of over two per game. Against their illustrious visitors from Turin, the Ligurians' back four must improve markedly if they are to avoid defeat.

Spezia Serie A form: LWLDD
Spezia form (all competitions): LWLDDW

Juventus Serie A form: WDWDD
Juventus form (all competitions): DWDWDL


Team News

Juventus head coach Andrea Pirlo pictured on October 19, 2020© Reuters

Following the return from self-isolation of Cristiano Ronaldo and Weston McKennie, Andrea Pirlo's hand has been further strengthened by defensive stalwart Giorgio Chiellini re-joining full training.

Matthijs de Ligt's long-standing shoulder injury is close to fully healed too, though Alex Sandro is definitely missing due to a muscle injury, but there are few other Juventus concerns.

Home boss Italiano is without injured goalkeeper Jeroen Zoet, defenders Juan Ramos, Elio Capradossi and Federico Mattiello and Bulgarian striker Andrey Galabinov, while Croatian centre-back Martin Erlic is in isolation after contracting COVID-19.

Giulio Maggiore and Riccardo Marchizza have cleared the return-to-play protocol and will now be evaluated by the coaching staff as they return from quarantine. Jacopo Sala suffered a thigh strain and will miss the champions' visit.

The Aquilotti's attacking trident should comprise M'Bala Nzola, in the centre, with Emmanuel Gyasi and Daniele Verde expected to support from the flanks.

Spezia possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Ferrer, Terzi, Chabot, Bastoni; Bartolomei, Ricci, Deiola; Verde, Nzola, Gyasi

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Buffon; Danilo, Bonucci, Demiral; Cuadrado, Bentancur, Arthur, Chiesa; Kulusevski, Dybala, Ronaldo


SM words green background

We say: Spezia 1-2 Juventus

A true clash of cultures will play out on the unloved plastic pitch at Stadio Dino Manuzzi, as the home side bid manfully to resist the might of Juventus and their returning superstar Ronaldo.

Despite their relative attacking woes - and telling lack of a ruthless edge in recent times - we're backing the perennial champions to take care of business this time, with the increasingly essential Kulusevski again to the fore.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Juventus?

Spezia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Juventus
100%
1
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Paulo Dybala celebrates scoring for Juventus on March 8, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo18134140152543
2SpeziaSpezia18107128101837
3Pisa18114332171537
4Cremonese177462319425
5Cesena177462724325
6Juve StabiaJuve Stabia176741920-125
7BariBari185942017324
8CatanzaroCatanzaro1841132219323
9Modena185852221123
10Carrarese186571519-423
11Mantova185762123-222
12Palermo185671817121
13Brescia185672023-321
14Reggiana184681722-518
15Sampdoria174672127-618
16Salernitana184681926-718
17SudtirolSudtirol1852111831-1317
18Cittadella184591330-1717
19Cosenza CalcioCosenza184861720-316
20FrosinoneFrosinone183781426-1216


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