Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia Under-21s win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Kazakhstan Under-21s had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Kazakhstan Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia Under-21s would win this match.
