Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for North Macedonia Under-21s had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a North Macedonia Under-21s win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spain Under-21s in this match.
