World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 27, 2022 at 10.05pm UK
El Salvador1 - 2Costa Rica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Grenada 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, June 8 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: El Salvador vs. USA
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, June 15 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Martinique
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Martinique vs. Costa Rica
Friday, March 24 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, March 24 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: El Salvador 0-1 Costa Rica
For these defensive-minded sides to put up three goals between them in their previous encounter was a rarity, as they both tend to play rather cagey without taking too many risks. With that being said, momentum is on the side of the Costa Ricans, who look determined to get back to the World Cup, and we expect that desperation, along with the goalkeeping of Keylor Navas, to earn them three points in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 34.74%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.91%) and 2-1 (6.52%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (13.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Salvador | Draw | Costa Rica |
| 34.74% | 31.72% | 33.54% |
| Both teams to score 37.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
