We said: Costa Rica 0-1 Canada
The Canadians look like a team of destiny, and although they have benefitted from their share of goalkeeping blunders in the Octagon, this group always appear comfortable and composed, even without Alphonso Davies.
Costa Rica have done well to fight their way back into the qualifying picture, but as solid as they are defensively, it is hard to imagine this veteran group being capable of staying with the speedy and youthful Canadians for an entire match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.