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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Qatar national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 1pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Senegal national football team

Qatar
1 - 3
Senegal

Muntari (78')
Mohammad (20'), Ahmed (45+2'), Madibo (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dia (41'), Diedhiou (48'), Dieng (84')
Dia (30'), Jakobs (52'), Ciss (87')

The Match

Match Report

Senegal survive a second-half rally from Qatar to record a 3-1 win over the World Cup hosts in Doha.

Team News

Famara Diedhiou is brought into the Senegal attack for Friday's World Cup game with Qatar in Doha.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Qatar and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Senegal could line up against Qatar in their World Cup clash on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-2 Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

Senegal

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Senegal 0-2 Netherlands
Monday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Qatar win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawSenegal
20.92% (1.92 1.92) 26.38% (0.807 0.81) 52.7% (-2.72 -2.72)
Both teams to score 43.47% (0.542 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.65% (-0.726 -0.73)59.35% (0.732 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.26% (-0.561 -0.56)79.74% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (1.725 1.73)43.77% (-1.718 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (1.391 1.39)79.94% (-1.385 -1.38)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-1.449 -1.45)22.69% (1.456 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (-2.2 -2.2)56.35% (2.205 2.21)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 20.92%
    Senegal 52.69%
    Draw 26.38%
QatarDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 5.03% (0.385 0.39)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 1.39% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.92%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 14.73% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 10.92% (-0.67 -0.67)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.4% (-0.588 -0.59)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 52.69%

How you voted: Qatar vs Senegal

Qatar
15.9%
Draw
11.9%
Senegal
72.2%
717
rhs 2.0
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