Schalke

1 - 1

Erzgebirge Aue

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.