Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.