Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.