Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.