MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 22:47:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
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Sydney FC
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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 at 8am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Newcastle Jets
1 - 3
Central Coast

Sotirio (9')
O'Neill (32'), Ingham (34')
O'Neill (60'), Jenkinson (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silvera (28', 58'), Tulio (69')
McGarry (45+2'), Triantis (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur
Friday, April 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast Mariners

Newcastle Jets have arguably got more to play for in this particular fixture, but the attacking qualities of the visitors could end up being too much for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
37.19% (1.225 1.23) 22.64% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 40.16% (-1.308 -1.31)
Both teams to score 66.72% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.95% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)34.04% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.08% (-0.255 -0.25)55.91% (0.248 0.25)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (0.474 0.47)18.96% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (0.786 0.79)50.49% (-0.792 -0.79)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)17.66% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-1.108 -1.11)48.28% (1.102 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 37.2%
    Central Coast Mariners 40.16%
    Draw 22.64%
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.166 0.17)
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast

Newcastle Jets
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Central Coast Mariners
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2022 8am
gameweek 1
Central Coast
3-0
Newcastle Jets
Tulio (22'), Cummings (63'), N'Kololo (87' pen.)
Kaltack (24')
Dec 11, 2022 4am
May 7, 2022 10.45am
gameweek 10
Central Coast
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')

Regan (8')
Apr 23, 2022 10.45am
gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Central Coast
Mauragis (46'), Farrell (50' og.)
Jurman (22'), Elsey (55'), Penha (90+4')
Penha (90+6')
Moresche (19'), Cummings (30', 34'), Kuol (90+1')
Miller (69'), Birighitti (90+1')
Nov 21, 2021 5.05am
gameweek 1
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Central Coast
Yuel (78')
Penha (32')
Nisbet (50'), Farrell (57')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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