Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
37.19% (![]() | 22.64% (![]() | 40.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.95% (![]() | 34.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.08% (![]() | 55.91% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% (![]() | 18.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% (![]() | 50.49% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.34% (![]() | 17.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.72% (![]() | 48.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.03% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 9.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 8.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.11% Total : 40.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |