Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.62% ( 1.77) | 21.66% ( 0.26) | 47.72% ( -2.03) |
Both teams to score 68.15% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.74% ( -0.17) | 31.26% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.31% ( -0.2) | 52.69% ( 0.21) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.02% ( 0.93) | 20.98% ( -0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.26% ( 1.43) | 53.74% ( -1.43) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.24% ( -0.71) | 13.76% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.95% ( -1.42) | 41.05% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.19) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
6 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
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