Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
44.45% ( 2.68) | 22.94% ( -0.25) | 32.6% ( -2.43) |
Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.29% ( 0.48) | 36.71% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.13% ( 0.52) | 58.87% ( -0.52) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.99% ( 1.28) | 17.01% ( -1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.86% ( 2.22) | 47.14% ( -2.22) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( -1.08) | 22.52% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.91% ( -1.64) | 56.09% ( 1.64) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.21) Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.28% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 28 |
2 | Auckland FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 27 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
6 | Macarthur | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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