Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.