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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 10, 2024 at 7am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
5 - 1
Melbourne City

Trewin (2'), Waddingham (30', 46'), O'Shea (33'), Jelacic (39')
Hore (10'), Freke (88')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Antonis (73')
Galloway (62')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 4-2 Melbourne City
Friday, February 2 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.15%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
34.18% (0.316 0.32) 22.61% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 43.21% (-0.408 -0.41)
Both teams to score 66.17% (-0.255 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.5% (-0.375 -0.38)34.5% (0.373 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.57% (-0.423 -0.42)56.42% (0.421 0.42)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.63% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)53.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.309 -0.31)16.61% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-0.554 -0.55)46.43% (0.553 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 34.18%
    Melbourne City 43.21%
    Draw 22.61%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.66% (0.062 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.41% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.43% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 43.21%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 10
Melbourne City
8-1
Brisbane Roar
Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')
Brownlie (62')
Mar 12, 2023 4am
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Melbourne City
Hore (9')
Aldred (90+1')
Trewin (14' og.), Borges Rodrigues (49')
Berenguer (67'), Hall (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS


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