Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.