Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
31.9% (![]() | 22.12% (![]() | 45.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.08% (![]() | 32.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.36% (![]() | 54.63% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% (![]() | 21.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.08% (![]() | 53.92% (![]() |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% (![]() | 14.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% (![]() | 43.4% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.26% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.71% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 9.33% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 8.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 3.32% Total : 45.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |