Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2022 at 6am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur1 - 0Perth Glory
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Victory
Sunday, December 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Sunday, December 11 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 10 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
We said: Macarthur 2-1 Perth Glory
With both clubs plagued by inconsistency this campaign, this is a difficult match to call. While Glory got back to winning ways last time out, it came against opponents who are now bottom of the table, and we feel that the extra quality is more likely to come from the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Macarthur in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Macarthur.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
50.21% ( -0.94) | 24.25% ( 0.39) | 25.54% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
