Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.