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Adelaide United
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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 21, 2022 at 9.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Macarthur

Western Utd
1 - 1
Macarthur

Wales (69')
Troisi (14'), Risdon (73'), Topor-Stanley (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millar (24')
Skotadis (22'), Millar (68'), Suman (90+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Sydney FC
Sunday, October 16 at 7am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-0 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
30.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 24.22% (0.004999999999999 0) 45.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.51% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18%43.82% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.21% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.027000000000001 0.03)27.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.033000000000001 0.03)62.85% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)19.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)51.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Western United 30.31%
    Macarthur 45.47%
    Draw 24.22%
Western UnitedDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.31%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 45.47%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Macarthur

Western United
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Macarthur
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2022 8.05am
Western Utd
2-0
Macarthur
Pain (57'), Prijovic (90+4')
Kilkenny (37'), Pain (65'), Topor-Stanley (73')

Uskok (8'), Mariappa (30'), Giannou (76')
Mariappa (69')
Feb 1, 2022 8.45am
Macarthur
2-2
Western Utd
Rose (77'), Uskok (87')
M'Mombwa (90')
Milanovic (16'), Prijovic (74')
Milanovic (50'), Wales (82'), Lacroix (86')
May 31, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
1-2
Macarthur
Guarrotxena (63')
Wales (39'), Hamill (42')
Susaeta (27'), Milligan (31')
Martis (9'), Ruhs (83')
Mar 20, 2021 6.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Western Utd
Derbyshire (35'), Susaeta (45+1')
Genreau (88'), Etxebarria (90+2')
Pierias (8')
Duzel (40')
Feb 20, 2021 6.05am
Western Utd
4-1
Macarthur
Guarrotxena (26'), Berisha (45', 66'), Pierias (54')
Lustica (20')
Derbyshire (90+1')
Susnjar (25'), Susaeta (68'), Hollman (74')
rhs 2.0
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