We said: Melbourne City 2-1 Western United
To a certain extent, Western have little to lose on Saturday, but that will not stop the experience being new for all involved. With that in mind, we feel that Melbourne could take advantage, backing up their regular season success and defending the crown that they won last season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.