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Adelaide United
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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Mar 19, 2022 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Victory

Good (45')
Tilio (42'), Reis (63'), Jenkinson (72'), Colakovski (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rojas (19')
Miranda (29'), D'Agostino (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
66.64%18.95%14.4%
Both teams to score 53.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.17%61.82%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02%10.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.76%35.24%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17%39.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5%76.49%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 66.64%
    Melbourne Victory 14.4%
    Draw 18.95%
Melbourne CityDrawMelbourne Victory
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 7.24%
4-0 @ 4.34%
4-1 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.33%
5-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 66.64%
1-1 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.95%
1-2 @ 4.09%
0-1 @ 4.03%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 14.4%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 8.45am
Melbourne City
2-2
Victory
MacLaren (60'), Nabbout (63')
Metcalfe (36'), O'Neill (84'), Berenguer (86'), Jamieson (90+3')
MacLaren (90+6')
Margiotta (12'), D'Agostino (81')
Jun 6, 2021 7.05am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
Brooks (90+5')
Roux (49'), Traore (50')
Ansell (54' og.)
O'Neill (72')
Apr 17, 2021 10.10am
Melbourne City
7-0
Victory
Nabbout (11'), MacLaren (34' pen., 64', 75' pen., 84', 85'), Luna (87')

McManaman (30'), Brimmer (88')
Traore (30')
Mar 6, 2021 8.10am
Victory
0-6
Melbourne City

McManaman (14'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (63'), Broxham (66')
MacLaren (34'), Berenguer (52'), Griffiths (56'), Metcalfe (75', 77'), Colakovski (90+3')
Griffiths (13'), Berenguer (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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