Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.