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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Mar 9, 2022 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Macarthur

Melbourne City
3 - 1
Macarthur

Mariappa (28' og.), Berenguer (44'), MacLaren (54' pen.)
Jenkinson (23')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Giannou (15')
Mariappa (36'), Susnjar (81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

Last Six:
Last Game: Adelaide United 0-0 Melbourne City
Wednesday, May 18 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Melbourne City vs. Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

Last Six:
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
72.84%16.23%10.92%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.62%35.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.59%57.41%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.58%8.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.75%29.25%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.42%42.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07%78.93%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 72.84%
    Macarthur 10.92%
    Draw 16.23%
Melbourne CityDrawMacarthur
2-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 7.73%
4-0 @ 5.61%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.3%
5-0 @ 2.77%
5-1 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 2.04%
6-0 @ 1.14%
5-2 @ 1.01%
6-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 72.84%
1-1 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 4%
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.23%
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-1 @ 3.06%
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.14%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 10.92%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-0
Macarthur
Colakovski (54'), Tilio (55')
Berenguer (30'), O'Neill (84'), Garuccio (87')

M'Mombwa (59'), Susnjar (90+4')
Apr 24, 2021 10.10am
Macarthur
1-1
Melbourne City
Ruhs (77')
Susnjar (84')
Metcalfe (59')
Mar 12, 2021 8.05am
Melbourne City
3-0
Macarthur
MacLaren (23', 25'), Noone (35')
Noone (20'), Berenguer (61'), Jamieson (81')
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