Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.