Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.89%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 18.75% and a draw had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (4.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
18.75% | 18.35% (![]() | 62.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.18% (![]() | 27.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.49% (![]() | 48.51% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% (![]() | 27.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% (![]() | 62.98% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.39% (![]() | 8.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.27% (![]() | 29.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 4.84% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-1 @ 2.08% 2-0 @ 1.97% Other @ 4.24% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 7.5% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.37% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 1-3 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.12% 0-3 @ 5.82% 0-1 @ 5.8% 2-3 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.46% 3-4 @ 1.28% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.79% Total : 62.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |