Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.65% (![]() | 23.21% (![]() | 49.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% (![]() | 40.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% (![]() | 63.21% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% (![]() | 27.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% (![]() | 63.22% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.18% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.2% (![]() | 46.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 10.65% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 9.5% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |