Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.