MX23RW : Friday, November 22 21:33:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
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Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2024 at 8am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Western Utd
2 - 2
Victory

Penha (43'), Garuccio (90')
Imai (27'), Risdon (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Folami (70'), Ikonomidis (79')
Khelifi (53'), Miranda (72')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, March 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
27.65% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 23.21% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 49.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.16% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)40.82% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)63.21% (0.141 0.14)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.67% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.22% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)16.81% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.159 -0.16)46.79% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Western United 27.65%
    Melbourne Victory 49.14%
    Draw 23.2%
Western UnitedDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.84% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 49.14%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Victory

Western United
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Melbourne Victory
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 8am
Gameweek 12
Victory
2-1
Western Utd
Da Silva (90+5', 90+8')
Velupillay (13'), Fornaroli (90+8')
Penha (60')
Ruhs (17'), Imai (21')
Mar 13, 2023 7am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-2
Western Utd
Fornaroli (50')
Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')
Dec 26, 2022 7am
May 21, 2022 8.15am
Victory
1-4
Western Utd
Brimmer (37')
Prijovic (18', 49'), Wales (78'), Wenzel-Halls (90+9')
Risdon (66'), Kilkenny (81')
May 17, 2022 10.05am
Western Utd
0-1
Victory

Risdon (56'), Pain (69')
Brimmer (74')
Brimmer (50'), Ikonomidis (77'), Popovic (89')
rhs 2.0
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