Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
44
Last Game: Wellington 3-0 Macarthur
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
42
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.19% ( 0.11) | 22.22% ( -0.02) | 27.59% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.02) | 36.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.76% ( -0.02) | 58.24% ( 0.01) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( 0.03) | 14.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.06) | 42.92% ( -0.06) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% ( -0.08) | 25.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.1) | 60.06% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 50.19%
Wellington Phoenix 27.59%
Draw 22.22%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.12% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.19% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.59% |
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Form Guide
