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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 5, 2024 at 8.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
1 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Germain (90+9' pen.)
Jurman (14'), Uskok (90+1'), Germain (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (9')
Grozos (89'), Cancar (90+8')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
50.7% (0.296 0.3) 21.4% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 27.9% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 67.07% (-0.685 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.15% (-0.759 -0.76)31.84% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.62% (-0.894 -0.89)53.38% (0.892 0.89)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.97% (-0.176 -0.18)13.03% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.42% (-0.361 -0.36)39.58% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)22.88% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.939 -0.94)56.62% (0.937 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 50.7%
    Newcastle Jets 27.9%
    Draw 21.4%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.172 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.07% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 4.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 2.25% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.9%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
46.7%
Draw
20.0%
Newcastle Jets
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Macarthur
Jurman (79'), O'Neill (90+5')
Arabuli (90+2')
Feb 18, 2023 7am
Jan 8, 2023 4am
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Gameweek 26
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
rhs 2.0
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