Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.98% (![]() | 24.62% (![]() | 36.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.1% (![]() | 43.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.71% (![]() | 66.29% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.56% (![]() | 22.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.02% (![]() | 55.98% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% (![]() | 23.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% (![]() | 57.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 38 |
3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |