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Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 30, 2023 at 6.30am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Western United

Newcastle Jets
2 - 0
Western Utd

Buhagiar (9', 22')
Stamatelopoulos (45+1'), Aquilina (90+2')
Stamatelopoulos (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tratt (45')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern United
46.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 23.19% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.75% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.1% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.012 -0.01)17.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.027000000000001 0.03)24.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.036000000000001 0.04)59.11% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 46.05%
    Western United 30.75%
    Draw 23.19%
Newcastle JetsDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 46.05%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.23%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.75%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Western Utd

Newcastle Jets
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Western United
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 4.30am
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-3
Western Utd
Mikeltadze (33' pen.)
Botic (3', 29'), Doumbia (72')
Jan 15, 2023 6am
May 4, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 8
Newcastle Jets
1-1
Western Utd
Elsey (52')
Elsey (47'), Wilson (61')
Bayew (27')
Kilkenny (75'), Lacroix (90+5')
Mar 5, 2022 4.05am
rhs 2.0
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