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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Mar 5, 2022 at 4.05am UK
GMHBA Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Western Utd
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Lacroix (16', 52')
Kilkenny (25'), Skotadis (62'), Topor-Stanley (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thurgate (81')
Hoffman (40'), Penha (49'), Boumal (74'), Thurgate (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Victory
Tuesday, May 17 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Victory vs. Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

Last Six:
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, May 7 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
41.5%25.92%32.58%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56%50.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63%72.37%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65%58.35%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83%29.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89%65.11%
Score Analysis
    Western United 41.5%
    Newcastle Jets 32.58%
    Draw 25.91%
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.58%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2021 10.05am
Western Utd
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Topor-Stanley (12' og.), Pierias (69')
Pierias (57')

Yuel (26'), O'Donovan (60'), Krasniqi (80')
Apr 5, 2021 8.05am
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Western Utd

Prso (13'), Topor-Stanley (45+1'), Millar (73'), Abbas (90')
Wales (1')
Hamill (67')
Aug 2, 2020 10.30am
Newcastle Jets
1-0
Western Utd
O'Donovan (29')
Boogaard (71'), Ugarkovic (81')

Skotadis (62'), Durante (90+1')
Feb 1, 2020 6am
Newcastle Jets
0-0
Western Utd

Boogaard (34')

Dillon (29')
Nov 16, 2019 8.30am
Western Utd
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Diamanti (56')
Thurgate (36')
Fitzgerald (64'), Hoffman (76')
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