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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Apr 2, 2022 at 6.35am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Melbourne City

Wellington
0 - 6
Melbourne City


Pennington (87'), Ball (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Surman (17' og.), Leckie (50'), Nabbout (59'), Good (68'), Tilio (76', 81')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Utd
Saturday, May 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.21%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 22.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
22.65%22.13%55.21%
Both teams to score 58.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.43%40.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04%62.95%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54%31.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16%67.84%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37%14.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26%42.74%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 22.65%
    Melbourne City 55.21%
    Draw 22.12%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.92%
1-0 @ 5.32%
2-0 @ 3.08%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 22.65%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 5.69%
0-0 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 6.3%
0-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 3.03%
0-4 @ 2.62%
2-4 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.21%

Head to Head
May 16, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
2-2
Wellington
Tsubaki (58'), MacLaren (81')
O'Neill (90')
Hemed (37' pen., 88')
Lewis (79'), Hemed (89'), McGarry (90')
Apr 5, 2021 10.10am
Wellington
2-3
Melbourne City
Hemed (39'), Davila (56')
Fenton (58'), Laws (62'), Devlin (88')
Good (17'), MacLaren (45'), Tilio (83')
Berenguer (55')
Feb 15, 2020 6am
Wellington
1-0
Melbourne City
Ball (58')
Davila (43'), Hooper (90')
Nov 3, 2019 5am
Melbourne City
3-2
Wellington
Metcalfe (30'), Galloway (34'), Noone (63' pen.)
Najjar (29'), Noone (43'), Genreau (45'), Galloway (51')
Hooper (24'), Waine (93')
Apr 21, 2019 8am
Wellington
3-2
Melbourne City
Krishna (27', 51', 94')
McGree (42', 66')
Brattan (31'), Griffiths (33'), Harrison (64')
rhs 2.0
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