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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 24, 2022 at 4.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Western Sydney Wanderers

Wellington
1 - 0
Western Sydney

Waine (22')
Pennington (38'), Sotirio (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baccus (13'), Najjarine (45+1'), Hemed (77')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

Last Six:
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, May 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
30.28%21.98%47.74%
Both teams to score 66.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.95%33.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21%54.79%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94%22.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59%55.41%
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59%14.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66%42.34%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 30.28%
    Western Sydney Wanderers 47.74%
    Draw 21.98%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.04%
1-0 @ 4.81%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 3.43%
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 30.28%
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 6.81%
0-0 @ 3.18%
3-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-1 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 5.82%
2-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 2.82%
2-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 1.87%
1-5 @ 1.09%
3-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 47.74%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2021 8.45am
Wellington
0-2
Western Sydney

Hooper (68'), Rufer (77'), Ball (86')
Hemed (66'), Koutroumbis (90+3')
Aquilina (17'), Traore (64')
May 26, 2021 10.05am
Western Sydney
1-2
Wellington
Baccus (28')
Dorrans (50'), Gordon (63')
Ball (24'), Hemed (42')
Fenton (33'), Sutton (36'), Ball (44'), Lewis (90+5')
Mar 15, 2021 8.05am
Western Sydney
4-3
Wellington
Wilmering (23'), Mutch (52'), Duke (65'), Yeboah (84')
Troisi (17'), Gordon (59'), McGowan (63')
Davila (7'), Devlin (32'), Hemed (64' pen.)
Talay (68'), Piscopo (73'), Lewis (77'), Davila (87')
Feb 21, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
2-2
Western Sydney
Muratovic (9'), Fenton (79')
Davila (54')
Yeboah (71'), Kamau (77')
Russell (16'), Muller (65')
Jul 31, 2020 10.30am
Western Sydney
1-0
Wellington
Yeboah (74')
O'Doherty (19')

Fenton (21'), DeVere (55'), Devlin (62')
DeVere (65')
rhs 2.0
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