Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
66.15% (![]() | 19.12% (![]() | 14.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.87% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.48% (![]() | 39.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.14% (![]() | 61.86% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.88% (![]() | 11.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.45% (![]() | 35.55% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.61% (![]() | 39.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.91% (![]() | 76.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-0 @ 10.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.14% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 1.86% Total : 14.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |