MX23RW : Friday, November 22 23:08:14| >> :60:919:919:
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Felipe (10'), Al-Amri (24'), Al-Ghamdi (35'), Al-Farhan (55'), Al-Ghamdi (85'), Hegazy (90+1')
Hamdallah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al-Shahrani (61'), Malcom (90+5')
Al-Faraj (37'), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Albulayhi (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal (Al-Hilal advance 4-0 on aggregate)

Al-Hilal have been relentless throughout this competition, and it is hard to imagine their momentum being stalled by a side who have been inconsistent throughout the campaign and will be missing a man who was at one time considered the best defensive midfielder in the world in Kante. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
28.02% (1.166 1.17) 23.62% (0.299 0.3) 48.36% (-1.468 -1.47)
Both teams to score 59.04% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (-0.515 -0.52)42.43% (0.512 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.517 -0.52)64.83% (0.515 0.52)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.575 0.58)28.24% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05% (0.723 0.72)63.94% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.751 -0.75)17.72% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (-1.312 -1.31)48.38% (1.311 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 28.02%
    Al-Hilal 48.36%
    Draw 23.61%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.208 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 4% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.87% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 48.36%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Hilal

Al Ittihad
18.5%
Draw
7.4%
Al-Hilal
74.1%
54
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')

Kante (66')
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
rhs 2.0
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