AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 4pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al Ittihad2 - 1Navbahor
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Riyadh
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Navbahor 0-0 Al Ittihad
Thursday, February 15 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
Thursday, February 15 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Al Ittihad 1-0 Navbahor (Al Ittihad win 1-0 on aggregate)
Although Navbahor showed a lot of discipline in the opening leg, we expect the Saudis to be the aggressors throughout this match and eventually find a breakthrough, though it should be a close game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Navbahor had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Navbahor win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Navbahor |
52.61% ( -0.22) | 23.98% ( -0.02) | 23.41% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
