Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for Daegu had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Daegu win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.