Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Comoros
1 - 1
Zambia

Youssouf (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Daka (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Comoros
Tuesday, July 11 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Zambia
Sunday, July 16 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

While Saturday's game is nothing but a dead rubber for the already-eliminated Comoros, Zambia need at least a draw to secure their status as group winners. The Chipolopolo boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them picking up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 74.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.35%) and 0-3 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Comoros win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Zambia
7.73% ( -0.87)	17.55% ( -1.41)	74.71% ( 2.28)

Both teams to score 35.2% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61% (

2.77)

51.38% (

-2.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.79% (

2.37)

73.2% (

-2.37)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.08% (

-0.38)

59.92% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.39% (

-0.2)

90.61% (

0.19)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

1.5)

12.17% (

-1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.19% (

3.06)

37.8% (

-3.07)

Score Analysis

Comoros 7.74%

Zambia 74.69%

Draw 17.55%

Comoros	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.03% Total : 7.74%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.85) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.55%	0-2 @ 16.17% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 15.35% ( -0.84) 0-3 @ 11.35% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 5.98% ( 0.66) 1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.3) 0-5 @ 2.52% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.38% Total : 74.69%