Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Libya had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Libya win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.